Youth rider limit
Posted: Mon Mar 14, 2011 8:06 pm
Second try, first one was shot down by bad Cerro (and probably nobody agreed but tought Cerro did a good enough job)
Inspired this time by:
a) Thread in the italian technic part by pirati-pirkio-aux
b) still Lunas old "Jugendwahn"thread in the old forum
c) my own conviction.
The problem: Youth youth youth, everybody buys youth, only youth, not perfect training, kick the lazy fuck, can't ride with a climber who has less than 88 mountain, can't have a classic leader with less than 74 mountain-80 flat and 65 sprint. Etc. An unbelievable amount of excellent riders is bought, and then sold soon later after average training sometimes even, because too many want the perfect star. Climber at 83 at 23? SOLD! Sprinter at 91 at the end of 23? SOLD. Classic guy misses 2 trainings at 24, Only 70-80 then? SOLD. And those guys then by being so expensive are usually not bought only 5 months later. When they are cheap. Not when the 83-60-79-50-50 with 50 reg could still become a 90 climber. Or very likely will become an 86 climber. No at thirty when he's cheap and will stay what it is. Too many good riders wasted.
Then, what the Italians discussed:
The restart, sell all, buy a bunch of 21 year olds, go down to D3, D4 since they suck and you have no points, but then you climb and climb and climb and have superstrong generation all peaking at roughly the same time, and earn enough money to regularly refill that generation with missing pieces. Dominate, then do the same. My policy so far was to insult those guys, especially since too often they think they did a really difficult thing and even brag about it...
Just some numbers:
D1 winners in 2010:
Adler 4: He did that restart thing in 2009
Gaurain 2: He did that restart in 2009
Hansa 1: No restart
Alk 1: No restart
Skull 1 no restart
Quick 1: I think no restart, at least not a real full one.
francais 1: No restart
Gala 1: No restart
So 6 of 12 D1 winners did it with that complete restart thing. 50%? Just a special situation in 2010? They weren't just "normal" restarters, but good ones, Adler certainly knew how to build a team, Gaurain certainly knows how to ride (not to say he doesn't know how to build a team)? Let's look at 2011
Jan: Kaju: Restart from last february on, not a 100% complete Adler one it seems, but a bit more in rates, feb, march, then april may some more. But counts as a restart
Feb: JPS: Restart with money buying selling in his inactive time.
March: Fight between JPS see above, and Alk, no restart
So already 2 out of 2, good chances it will be 3 out of 3 in 2 weeks.
So IMO (and the Italians agree) just too easy that way. Of course not everybody reaches the title, but even look at ZL: After years in D2-D3 last year after a long time he reached D1 again. Not because he's a better manager, he is D1 class anyway, he just doesn't ride enough, but even without really riding more he came back to D1. For one simple reason. He had one generation peaking at the same time. Even though some of his stars had H O R R I B L E training, Bangerter... he just did it with the mass, there. And could sell the fist climber that didn't train without problems. Too easy.
So why not do something against that, AND against the nonstop selling of young riders that don't train too well at the first opportunity?
Introduce limits:
1: Max 3 riders at 21
2: Max 5 riders at 21+22
3: Max 6 riders at 21+22+23
So if you want you can do the restart in rates, buy 3 then 2 then 1, then 3 again, then 2 or maybe 3 if one of the earlier ones wasn't training etc. It still isn't impossible to do the restart, but it becomes a bit more challenging. Because right now it just isn't a challenge at all.
Second, I still would like to see a limit per year or six month. So that you can't buy 3, sell the worst trainer, buy another 3, sell the 2 worst trainers, buy another 3. And against the repeated selling of good but not perfect riders, just to get the superstartrainer, sell until you get him. Not sure about the limit here: 10 for 6 months? 20 for a year? Too much? Not enough?
Advantages:
- It makes the easiest and IMO most boring teambuilding harder. But not completely impossible.
- It makes the auctions, that are coming, "fairer". Those restarters with all their money otherwise would have an immense advantage. Like that they still have one, but at least they'll be limited to buying x riders. Not like now where they can buy 10 or more depending on the money. With the auction system maybe somebody who buys 12 now, then could only buy 11, but he could overspend, without having to think too much. He will not have money problems in the near future, he will hava a cheap team that only brings money.
- Less waste of talent. Hurts my sensible soul to see a 73-52-77-50-50 with 65 reg bought, only to be sold with 24 because he's only 85-55-77-50-50 and soooo expensive.
Disadvantages:
- It hurts real restarters. Like ZL was for example. He had a 4 months break (yes, the bastard had 4 months paid holiday), so sold his riders, then once back in Swi he bought new ones. Which is ok and even better than letting talented guys sit at home and wait for him, or buying young ones the moment he leaves to have them ready to perform when he's back. It will hurt those guys.
-Less freedom for normal teambuilders as well. It can happen that somebody buys 4 21 year olds in a month, even if he usually buys one, or 0.
Not a real argument btw is reality. Yes, it's unrealistic that a team sells all his riders, than buys 10 21 year olds. But it's as unrealistic to do what I do, buy 1 a month who then spends the whole career at my superteam. Which is something that I would kind of like to change too, but each time I bring that fantastic proposal, Buhmann and ZL counter with a completely idiotic proposal, so for the moment I won't even start that...
Another option of course would be:
Change the whole system, go to a system, money according to your division placing, contracts, etc. the Italians were going in that directions, which I don't dislike but looking at Buhs workload.. utopic at this point.
This one here isn't utopic. It's another limit, like we have a few, it makes sense in my opinion, the + is bigger than the - (even if I probably forgot some -, post them) the results from the last year are clear, from this year too, it's too easy compared with other ways, the concern about the auction IMO is more than a concern, have no doubt that the liquidity advantage of those teams would be too big.
Everybody read. Bring concerns, stuff I haven't considered.
Buhmann, read it, read the concerns, think it over, decide.
Inspired this time by:
a) Thread in the italian technic part by pirati-pirkio-aux
b) still Lunas old "Jugendwahn"thread in the old forum
c) my own conviction.
The problem: Youth youth youth, everybody buys youth, only youth, not perfect training, kick the lazy fuck, can't ride with a climber who has less than 88 mountain, can't have a classic leader with less than 74 mountain-80 flat and 65 sprint. Etc. An unbelievable amount of excellent riders is bought, and then sold soon later after average training sometimes even, because too many want the perfect star. Climber at 83 at 23? SOLD! Sprinter at 91 at the end of 23? SOLD. Classic guy misses 2 trainings at 24, Only 70-80 then? SOLD. And those guys then by being so expensive are usually not bought only 5 months later. When they are cheap. Not when the 83-60-79-50-50 with 50 reg could still become a 90 climber. Or very likely will become an 86 climber. No at thirty when he's cheap and will stay what it is. Too many good riders wasted.
Then, what the Italians discussed:
The restart, sell all, buy a bunch of 21 year olds, go down to D3, D4 since they suck and you have no points, but then you climb and climb and climb and have superstrong generation all peaking at roughly the same time, and earn enough money to regularly refill that generation with missing pieces. Dominate, then do the same. My policy so far was to insult those guys, especially since too often they think they did a really difficult thing and even brag about it...
Just some numbers:
D1 winners in 2010:
Adler 4: He did that restart thing in 2009
Gaurain 2: He did that restart in 2009
Hansa 1: No restart
Alk 1: No restart
Skull 1 no restart
Quick 1: I think no restart, at least not a real full one.
francais 1: No restart
Gala 1: No restart
So 6 of 12 D1 winners did it with that complete restart thing. 50%? Just a special situation in 2010? They weren't just "normal" restarters, but good ones, Adler certainly knew how to build a team, Gaurain certainly knows how to ride (not to say he doesn't know how to build a team)? Let's look at 2011
Jan: Kaju: Restart from last february on, not a 100% complete Adler one it seems, but a bit more in rates, feb, march, then april may some more. But counts as a restart
Feb: JPS: Restart with money buying selling in his inactive time.
March: Fight between JPS see above, and Alk, no restart
So already 2 out of 2, good chances it will be 3 out of 3 in 2 weeks.
So IMO (and the Italians agree) just too easy that way. Of course not everybody reaches the title, but even look at ZL: After years in D2-D3 last year after a long time he reached D1 again. Not because he's a better manager, he is D1 class anyway, he just doesn't ride enough, but even without really riding more he came back to D1. For one simple reason. He had one generation peaking at the same time. Even though some of his stars had H O R R I B L E training, Bangerter... he just did it with the mass, there. And could sell the fist climber that didn't train without problems. Too easy.
So why not do something against that, AND against the nonstop selling of young riders that don't train too well at the first opportunity?
Introduce limits:
1: Max 3 riders at 21
2: Max 5 riders at 21+22
3: Max 6 riders at 21+22+23
So if you want you can do the restart in rates, buy 3 then 2 then 1, then 3 again, then 2 or maybe 3 if one of the earlier ones wasn't training etc. It still isn't impossible to do the restart, but it becomes a bit more challenging. Because right now it just isn't a challenge at all.
Second, I still would like to see a limit per year or six month. So that you can't buy 3, sell the worst trainer, buy another 3, sell the 2 worst trainers, buy another 3. And against the repeated selling of good but not perfect riders, just to get the superstartrainer, sell until you get him. Not sure about the limit here: 10 for 6 months? 20 for a year? Too much? Not enough?
Advantages:
- It makes the easiest and IMO most boring teambuilding harder. But not completely impossible.
- It makes the auctions, that are coming, "fairer". Those restarters with all their money otherwise would have an immense advantage. Like that they still have one, but at least they'll be limited to buying x riders. Not like now where they can buy 10 or more depending on the money. With the auction system maybe somebody who buys 12 now, then could only buy 11, but he could overspend, without having to think too much. He will not have money problems in the near future, he will hava a cheap team that only brings money.
- Less waste of talent. Hurts my sensible soul to see a 73-52-77-50-50 with 65 reg bought, only to be sold with 24 because he's only 85-55-77-50-50 and soooo expensive.
Disadvantages:
- It hurts real restarters. Like ZL was for example. He had a 4 months break (yes, the bastard had 4 months paid holiday), so sold his riders, then once back in Swi he bought new ones. Which is ok and even better than letting talented guys sit at home and wait for him, or buying young ones the moment he leaves to have them ready to perform when he's back. It will hurt those guys.
-Less freedom for normal teambuilders as well. It can happen that somebody buys 4 21 year olds in a month, even if he usually buys one, or 0.
Not a real argument btw is reality. Yes, it's unrealistic that a team sells all his riders, than buys 10 21 year olds. But it's as unrealistic to do what I do, buy 1 a month who then spends the whole career at my superteam. Which is something that I would kind of like to change too, but each time I bring that fantastic proposal, Buhmann and ZL counter with a completely idiotic proposal, so for the moment I won't even start that...
Another option of course would be:
Change the whole system, go to a system, money according to your division placing, contracts, etc. the Italians were going in that directions, which I don't dislike but looking at Buhs workload.. utopic at this point.
This one here isn't utopic. It's another limit, like we have a few, it makes sense in my opinion, the + is bigger than the - (even if I probably forgot some -, post them) the results from the last year are clear, from this year too, it's too easy compared with other ways, the concern about the auction IMO is more than a concern, have no doubt that the liquidity advantage of those teams would be too big.
Everybody read. Bring concerns, stuff I haven't considered.
Buhmann, read it, read the concerns, think it over, decide.