Unfit, loses more, my guess is Reggy in rosa later today.
GC:
Badenburg vs Firiam vs the rest really, I'd put Makhamadzhonov further back.
More like
***** Badenburg-Firiam
****Makhamadzhonov
***
** Lachance, Dixon, Trost
* Poggiolini, Fürst
With Makhamadzhonov really being a 3.5 star guy...
It's a duel for the most part, with Makhamadzhonov hoping to profit, the rest further back hoping to profit too.
Badenburg will gain around 4' on Firiam. in the TT And a further 1'20" on the others. All roughly. Ok, Trost 53 a bit less, but the rest is 50 (some 48 but doesn't matter, 50)
Can Firiam get these 4' back? Taka is already saying no, but we ride to see if it is possible... 90 vs 81, Firiam might have to give up the stage on some days, and instead of attacking just ride and carry Makhamadzhonov to stage wins, after all he is quite a bit back. Hard for Makhamadzhonov to gain 1'20" vs a guy with more mountain.
The arcade stage of course changes things a bit more, between Tukh and Taka not much to 0.3, form can make that difference. Of course if Firiam is back, Tukh then has the better team so there could be a difference. On the other hand Firiam has masses of others behind him too, Lachance for example. As for Reggy, the pavé is good, the flat not, and the flat counts a lot in those ** (that should be * and still siebable in some places) I don't trust Reggy there, also the team, would be very surprised if Reggy gains time on Makhamadzhonov.
Managers: Job looks easier for Credit Pommes, he doesn't have much experience riding for such a leader, but he has experience riding with inferior climbers

Meaning, wait, defend, strike in the right moment, not having to do, or wanting to do the action, Krausz and co did that in the past years. So for Pommes the changes not big, but of course more responsability. The change might be bigger for Taka, he likes the mountain defender, which usually on most routes Firiam would be, here he has to adapt to the role of attacker, finding the right mix between dropping Badenburg while not letting others profit from it too much. Reg a bit of a problem for him, and the fact that Mori is not really stronger than Stoel. And that the obvious stages where he can just ride up are few... 1, or maybe 1.5. The rest he will have to find ways to attack Reggy.