The spirale
If that's an english word.
It sucks. Horrible. What is it? It's about winning, not about fighting, it's about buying, not about riding. It's what makes many big stage races less than they actually should be. Or could be. Go higher and higher. And finally it hurts RSF in a way. GTs at RSF: More and more for 2 kinds of teams:
-Newcomers, almost complete or guys with little experience, first year.
-Old team, GC contenders
The rest? Nooooo, why waste 3 weeks without having a shot at the GC? Yes, I know there are exceptions. Sprinter teams, classic teams start too, some of them. Or other specialized teams. But a lot of older and fairly new guys, no thanks. I can't win the GC. Sprinter only 92, no good.Climber only 86, no chance against Skull. Classics not strong enough, only 72, makes no sense to start. Instead, they go to the parallel programm. Which is ok too, why not, California, Bayern, Dunkerque during the Giro, all deserve good participation too. Poland during the tour, of course. Austria and whatever else there is, ok ok, not really, but ok, who cares. But often the main reason for going there seems to be: MONEY. MONEY, so one year later those guys then show up at the GTs... with their monster teams. Which of course will make others say: It makes no sense for me to start at this and this GT, I can't beat team X with my team! Eat the cheap sidedishes in 2013, but, in 2014, they will be there... with their monster team. Etc etc. Pushing each other higher and higher, pushing the limit for a "GT win" higher every year. Pushing each other... might actually be wrong. It's more pushing yourself, using the other guys monster team as an excuse. Even if there wasn't that monster team... ha no, there is the beatable monster rider, but I can't beat him. If not, there is the excellent rider that I really can't beat. 88 mountain, can't beat that. 87 with 60 TT no helper, can't beat that. Whatever. It's just an excuse. in the end it's about pride: "I'm too good to be cannon fodder". No, you're not. "I''m too good to ride only for stages". No, you're not. A good GT needs all kinds of teams. GC contenders, sprinters, stage hunters and... cannon fodder. The cannon fodder part now often is taken by the new teams, here 2 months, don't know yet how GTs work, don't know yet that x teams will show up with ridiculously expensive teams and therefore want to make 100k a day average or so... they are cannon fodder, and won't have much fun very likely. And won't make the mistake twice, they'll only start another GT if THEY have the big team now. Or the clear stage favorite. And will be used by the next batch of newcomers as their excuse (and by oldies too, it really hasn't much to do with how long you've played)... can't compete against that, don't want too, if I start I need to be either a serial stage winner or GC favorite. Why not just once as "cannon fodder"? OK, pure cannon fodder must be boring, of course having a contender for something makes it more fun. Good chances for stages, be it sprinter/classic/climber, whatever. But why not? Of course not a new problem, we had that elitist mindset before, most glaring example the excellent Mangahn... wouldn't start a stage race if he didn't see a chance for a jersey. And "chance" for him meant what others would have described as 70% favorite.. Breaks when the team was weak, only to race when the team was at the top. But nowadays seems just more extreme. Many many elite or not so elite teams missing the GTs because of: lack of "sure" success. Rather take easier wins, and MONEY in smaller races than fighting, but of course in 2013 (or 2014 or whenever the team will seem strong enough for their chances) they will be there.. and others take there place in the "coward races". Giro this year was... weak, overall it was VERY weak. Tour actually looks better, for the first time ever at RSF.. that's why I write today, since tomorrow the groups might be ok.. might
No, of course not everybody that doesn't race the GTs is a coward. No time. Not in the mood for a 3 week race. Etc. All ok. But of course it exists, "no perspective, I'm too good to start without "guarantees" (which of course is ok too, but makes you a coward) and often the ones that miss because of "lack of perspective" then are the ones that show up with "GT buying" teams later on. Thus pushing (but as I said, don't think it really needs pushing) other managers with the same mindset to miss GTs because of "lack of perspectives". So a "spirale"... Which sucks.
Just ride the damn thing. No perspective? Then don't show up with the 550k team, just come with 450k and see if you can get a stage. Of the older teams almost everybody actually has perspectives... just not "sure" enough for the manager maybe. Newer teams, ok, sometimes the guy with the stage chances really seems to be missing, then ok..but on the other hand, why not? Fight, see if you can "force" something. See if you can get a surprise win. Go in escapes Which might help the race actually. Show up with a 90- 92 sprinter and see what you can do. Which might help the race too. Too often the guys that finally show up, end up having similar riders and in the end there is almost no challenge to the sprint, or escape, depending on the overall profile. Which doesn't make for a really good race then.. it's clear what will happen, even if the profile would allow different scenarios, the scenario of stage x and z then is written after you see the start list. Because the whole thing is too hilly, sprinters have no perspective, so not enough there to challenge the hill boys. Since there aren't many hill stages the classics are not there, no perspective, so it's a sprint. On the same stage in 2 different tours. So.. just SHOW up, and try. Of course you might fail. Of course you'll have to deal with the chat heroes that tell you not to pull x or z, because of place 3 in the white jersey, of course you'll have them telling you that you shouldn't do anything since you have no chance (which indeed is true if you don't do anything) (and of course there is senseless riding too, but...). So what. Try, if you fail, you'll try again in the next attempt, if you win a stage, cool. Probably worth more than the guy who wins 4 stages but only shows up when he has the team that makes it likely for him to win 4 stages. Don't get sucked into the spirale, only ride if you have the super rider/super team, and miss it to earn money when you don't. Just ride.