Ok ok, let's analyze that damned Sheik thing from Falke.
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He stole my 2011 tour
Well almost, Yemen, one stage almost identical.
Already designed it
And he really stole 2012, after not winning in 2011 I planned to make Saudi-Arabia to Yemen in 2012. Stage to Taif? Cool climb where you can go up by cable car too? Yes? MY FUCKING EARLY CLIMB for 2012!!!!
AND HE MISSED THE DEADLINE KICK HIM, KICK HIM
Ok. wää
Presentation: Not good. Infos are there, but: PICTURES DUDE. Just a few pictures or links would be enough. Stage 11:
Near al Mahwit:
http://www.panoramio.com/photo/372059
Al Mahwit:
http://www.panoramio.com/photo/4664785
Al Tawila
http://www.panoramio.com/photo/4366955
Kaukaban:
http://www.panoramio.com/photo/17077946
http://www.panoramio.com/photo/7224189
http://www.panoramio.com/photo/35857350
Or even post a nice google earth screen of Kaukaban, a spectacular arrival like that... Stupid Falke. Too late, thought I was safe, then this. Unfair. GRrr.
REally think the presentation could be "sexier". Google earthed around the region quite a lot in the past year, it's full of really great pictures.
The rest, good, the information part is good. The region is an act of genius, only a real genius could decide on such a good place. Asshole, grrr...
Ok now to the stages:
Stages: 12, classified in 4 flat, 4 middle mountain, 3 HC and 1 ITT
Correct since you classified them, but maybe better to put into the title that some of the middle mountain are ok for sprinter, or possibly ok. Which IMO is one of the strenghts of the tour. Like this 4-4-3 it's a bit sprinter unfriendly, your tour really isn't.
Stage 1: Sprint with 2 early mountains for the boring jersey chasers. Good.
2: Boring flat stage, not a single problem... good. 1: flat stages with a 6 somewhere for mysterious reasons scare away sprinters too. So here they really get a clear sign that they will get the stage. I mean stage one is clearly a sprint stage 2. But somehow 4 stages like this would scare some chicken. Good stage
3: Very nice like it. Excellent. HC, but not clear for climbers or 80-70 or do classic riders get back? Probably not. Only way to make it better would be a minor climb before the final climb. But geography is a bitch, so probably couldn't do it. But really like this stage. Change of leader obviously.
4: middle mountain. classic rider/sprinter as you said, nice stage, more action after day 3. Good. Probably too hard for hill sprinters. Here though a small concern: saws? do I see some saws? Ha! Unvoteble. Seriously, beginning of the stage looks a bit suspicious, possible, unlike Hansa you don't have saws every day everywhere, occasionally though you have them. It's not always a measuring designing error, but often yes. Designed with? google or t4b or the cool analyzer thing?
5: easier middle mountain: Hill sprinter favorite, but sprinters have chances, so have classic sprinters and classic escape artists. Or even the long escape, since the finish is a bit unclear, who should work
6 middle mountain 3 times the same stage, in a row. That's what the profile looks like. and that's the big big disadvantage of designing tours at high altitude for december at RSF. Profile don't look half as cool as if it's 1500 lower. The 3 stages while certainly a bit similar, have big differences,that would be much more obvious at lower altitude. Here for sprinters, I would almost call it a sprinter stage, not middle mountain. 148 the last 5+? over 50 Km time? Ok, interesting to know what is earlier. but IMO looks excellent for sprinters. Good stage
Like the first 6 days a lot: 2 sprints in a row, HC stage, then harder middle mountain soft middle mountain with chances for almost everybody, then easy middle mountain with good sprint chances. Very nice.
7: Long climbing ITT, in the middle of the tour. interesting. Again small sawconcern in the middle, the 4 1 4 0 etc.section looks strange. If your not sure, "schragstellen" with google earth, then you see it. Rivers running through wholes, rivers hanging on the side of the valley etc. Then adapt. Possible that it's that way, but always better to check. And adapt if necessary. Interesting ITT, very long. Could be too long for the difficultys coming later probably would have needed another tough stage to balance that ITT.
8 : easy sprint stage. If you're sprinter had reg. If not, it might be for escapers. Here for once the sprinters reg will be very important. And the downhill. Why the Eiterolloids will recover a bit, the Contis will not. So while it looks like another "boring" sprint stage (that would be welcome by many GC riders) it could turn out to be an interesting battle between escaping regmonsters. Let's just hope for some control in the back... But sprint not impossible either, if the sprinters with the most reg have a strong team. Good again.
9 Next HC stage, again a bit a softie. 80-70 sounds about right, or climber in a sprint, after all 80-70 are not really sure to drop the 85-60.. fairly sure they don't. 85-55 more? Good stage basically, even though here for balance things I would have preferred seeing a tougher stage. Not necessarily arrival, actually this arrival might make bigger differences than a top arrival. Might make smaller ones too. But a few climbs more before could have helped.
10 Short intense, you need reg, which you need the next day. Good. But, not the GC guys will need the energy... it's clearly for classic riders (so if it becomes a GC fight including Leupolds it's still the classic helpers that have to ride. So less good already. In the end risks just being a non factor in the GC, and by stage 10 we should really be in the middle of the GC fight. Soft on 9, not here on 10 is a bit too little compared to the long ITT.
11: Excellent stage. Of course much better to start in Al Hudaida and finish in Al Tawila.
As really good tours do in their stage 11
No, Kaubakan of course is cool, really spectacular (open google earth and look for yourself) The advantage of finishing earlier though is: then it's a really hard mountain stage (I had 6 6 for the last 2 km to Al Tawila, grr, badly designed sheik don't vote for it) Getting easier towards the end. The early climbs are harder, each time a bit easier, even when you stop in Al Tawila. Like this, the end even easier, while still not a lot, it's almost the part with most flat of the whole stage. Which can go both ways: The risk: Really controlled until the end. The hope: many different groups chasing each others in the last 50 kms. So in a way this version is the more interesting one, but often those stages at RSF end up with a big waiting race too. Good like this, Kaubakan too cool to leave out almost. But, then I really miss a earlier hard stage with mountain top arrival. Here we have the mountain top arrival, almost, last km -1 but for a mountain top arrival Al Tawaila is just better. Less recovery time before the last climb (but there still is a fair amount of flat their too actually) Despite the criticism here, like this stage, opens many possiblities. But what's missing is. The other stage, the one that end on a mountain after another mountain, the mountain top arrival. Finally in this tour we have only half a mountain top arrival, let's say 3/4. IMO there should be one at least in a 12 day tour. Even more in a 12 day tour with such a long TT,
12: Sprint. The problem for sprinters could be: AFter the hell day the day before over 5000 meters I think) they are not fit again. Especially if the day is ridden hard. Not fit and no support riders. So the risk of this stage is: chaos. another GC day, especially with 5 around there. Mmh, where's the finish. If it's the cool Wadi road that cuts through the old city center, POST A PICTURE.
Generally. I'll vote for this or Capetown, will have to look at both once again and compare. Good tour. Excellent first part, IMO the second part a bit weaker. Either the TT a bit shorter, tp balance the thing more, or another hard mountain stage. Like this the risk is that after the ITT too many riders are out. No chance to get in again. Sprint after TT good, then 9-12 to soft. Not 11 of course, it's excellent really, but 9 soft, 10 not GC, 12 sprint after a hard mountain stage too, a big risk at RSF, that might turn out to be the missing GC stage. For example why not take the climb to the highland further south on stage 9? Noth the one to Huth, but the one just north of the Al Mahvit, al Tawila route, the one to Kulan (another spectacular place) there the 2 climbs are closer together (but the second one not that steep) . Then you would get the GC mountain stage. OK, stage 10 then a bit... where to go? Kulan or 100 other way to write is basically near Amran, road coming to the west.. so what to do? Ok could take the road to Thula to the south instead of going to Amran, nice climb again, over 3000 meters but difficult to get a stage that makes sense going to Sanaa if I remember correctly, you just end up doing rounds and rounds... Mmh, where do you actually go after Amran? Don't really get that, only 3 roads no? One from the north, where you come from, one goes southeast, but there is a small eeasy pass immediately, the other going east direction Kulan and starts climbing soon too... you keep going flat?? Ok, couldn't resist.. went google earthing, hihi, you used the route I just proposed... but sure you didn't write Amran in the wrong place? Looks like it keeps going flat for a while, after Amran it starts climbing fairly soon. Ok short stage, looks more than it is probably. Anyway, stage 10 then you risk riding circles, but why not make it a bit harder too... instead of going to Sanaa and that's it, why not go up the cool 2 lined road on the main Sanaa-Al Hudaida road on the southwest of Sanaa, either go down the other lane (that is separated goes down differently or use the connection to the Sanaa Ibb-Taizz road to get back to Sanaa. Make it a bit harder more possibilites for GC attacks. Anyway, without going too much into details (good, means I haven't done it yet, no?) stage 9 harder, stage 10 more GC chances my mine critic. Plus serious doubts about 12.
Otherwise good especially one of the 2 tours that have enough sprints. 4 officially, might be 6. Might be 2 too
after the TT and the last one at risk. But IMO not a really big risk after the TT, and the 2 middle mountain stages look doable, so IMO will be 5-6
HC stages a weakness IMO. 11 cool, 3 cool, 9 mentioned already combined with the TT (ok mountain top there...) not enough IMO. but 3 and 11, excellent. just something more missing.
Middle mountain look good too, 4 seems a lot, but only 2 assured, so it's ok, not too similar too. the 2 possible ones good too.
LIke it, as I said, good chances to get my vote, very probably will, main reason LCB not riding, but might getting it because I prefer it to LCBs too... NOt sure yet, really will have to take another look at LCBs tour...
Still... couldn't you just have done your damned tour somewhere else?